Leaderboard / Changelly / AR
Changelly’s AR predictions
Every AR prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.
28
Graded predictions
4.3%
Avg. error
12 / 28
Direction hits
Predicted vs. actual over time
Line = actual AR price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date
Graded AR predictions
| Made on | Target | Predicted | Actual | Error | Dir. | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-01 | $1.71 | $1.73 | 1.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-01 | $1.71 | $1.73 | 1.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-01 | $1.78 | $1.73 | 2.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-01 | $1.85 | $1.73 | 6.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-01 | $1.84 | $1.73 | 6.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-01 | $1.80 | $1.73 | 4.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $1.84 | $1.73 | 6.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | $1.71 | $1.73 | 1.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-31 | $1.78 | $1.73 | 2.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-31 | $1.85 | $1.73 | 6.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-31 | $1.84 | $1.73 | 6.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-31 | $1.80 | $1.73 | 4.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-31 | $1.84 | $1.73 | 6.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | $1.78 | $1.72 | 3.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-30 | $1.85 | $1.72 | 7.6% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-30 | $1.84 | $1.72 | 7.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-30 | $1.81 | $1.72 | 5.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-30 | $1.84 | $1.72 | 7.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | $1.86 | $1.75 | 6.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-29 | $1.85 | $1.75 | 5.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-29 | $1.81 | $1.75 | 3.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-29 | $1.85 | $1.75 | 5.7% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $1.85 | $1.79 | 3.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-28 | $1.81 | $1.79 | 1.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-28 | $1.85 | $1.79 | 3.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-27 | $1.82 | $1.89 | 3.7% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-27 | $1.86 | $1.89 | 1.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-26 | $1.86 | $1.86 | 0.0% | ✓ | source |