How accurate are Changelly's AR predictions? | CompareForecast

Changelly’s AR predictions

Every AR prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.

500

Graded predictions

7.8%

Avg. error

176 / 500

Direction hits

Predicted vs. actual over time

Line = actual AR price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date

Graded AR predictions

Made on	Target	Predicted	Actual	Error	Dir.	Evidence
2026-08-03	2026-08-26	$1.70	$2.18	22.0%	✕	source
2026-08-02	2026-08-26	$1.68	$2.18	22.9%	✕	source
2026-08-01	2026-08-26	$1.68	$2.18	22.9%	✕	source