Leaderboard / Changelly / ARB
Changelly’s ARB predictions
Every ARB prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.
28
Graded predictions
16.1%
Avg. error
22 / 28
Direction hits
Predicted vs. actual over time
Line = actual ARB price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date
Graded ARB predictions
| Made on | Target | Predicted | Actual | Error | Dir. | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-01 | $0.07 | $0.07796 | 10.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0636 | $0.07796 | 18.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0607 | $0.07796 | 22.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0621 | $0.07796 | 20.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0598 | $0.07796 | 23.3% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0599 | $0.07796 | 23.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0611 | $0.07796 | 21.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0693 | $0.07706 | 10.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0635 | $0.07706 | 17.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0638 | $0.07706 | 17.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0627 | $0.07706 | 18.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0603 | $0.07706 | 21.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-31 | $0.062 | $0.07706 | 19.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0691 | $0.07883 | 12.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0667 | $0.07883 | 15.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0644 | $0.07883 | 18.3% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0632 | $0.07883 | 19.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0624 | $0.07883 | 20.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | $0.0726 | $0.07802 | 6.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-29 | $0.0673 | $0.07802 | 13.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-29 | $0.0649 | $0.07802 | 16.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-29 | $0.0654 | $0.07802 | 16.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $0.0732 | $0.07793 | 6.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-28 | $0.0678 | $0.07793 | 13.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-28 | $0.0672 | $0.07793 | 13.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-27 | $0.0738 | $0.08217 | 10.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-27 | $0.0702 | $0.08217 | 14.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-26 | $0.0764 | $0.08274 | 7.7% | ✕ | source |