How accurate are Changelly's ARB predictions? | CompareForecast

Changelly’s ARB predictions

Every ARB prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.

500

Graded predictions

25.3%

Avg. error

251 / 500

Direction hits

Predicted vs. actual over time

Line = actual ARB price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date

Graded ARB predictions

Made on	Target	Predicted	Actual	Error	Dir.	Evidence
2026-08-03	2026-08-26	$0.0654	$0.09366	30.2%	✕	source
2026-08-02	2026-08-26	$0.0631	$0.09366	32.6%	✕	source
2026-08-01	2026-08-26	$0.0629	$0.09366	32.8%	✕	source