Leaderboard / Changelly / ARRR
Changelly’s ARRR predictions
Every ARRR prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.
21
Graded predictions
2.4%
Avg. error
12 / 21
Direction hits
Predicted vs. actual over time
Line = actual ARRR price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date
Graded ARRR predictions
| Made on | Target | Predicted | Actual | Error | Dir. | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-01 | $0.208 | $0.2076 | 0.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-01 | $0.206 | $0.2076 | 0.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-01 | $0.206 | $0.2076 | 0.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-01 | $0.22 | $0.2076 | 6.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-01 | $0.216 | $0.2076 | 4.1% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $0.216 | $0.2076 | 4.1% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | $0.207 | $0.2089 | 0.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-31 | $0.206 | $0.2089 | 1.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-31 | $0.22 | $0.2089 | 5.3% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-31 | $0.215 | $0.2089 | 2.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-31 | $0.215 | $0.2089 | 2.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | $0.207 | $0.2107 | 1.7% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-30 | $0.218 | $0.2107 | 3.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-30 | $0.214 | $0.2107 | 1.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-30 | $0.214 | $0.2107 | 1.6% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | $0.217 | $0.2097 | 3.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-29 | $0.213 | $0.2097 | 1.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-29 | $0.213 | $0.2097 | 1.6% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-28 | $0.214 | $0.2082 | 2.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-28 | $0.214 | $0.2082 | 2.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-26 | $0.215 | $0.214 | 0.5% | ✓ | source |