How accurate are Changelly's ARRR predictions? | CompareForecast

Changelly’s ARRR predictions

Every ARRR prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.

500

Graded predictions

8.9%

Avg. error

237 / 500

Direction hits

Predicted vs. actual over time

Line = actual ARRR price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date

Graded ARRR predictions

Made on	Target	Predicted	Actual	Error	Dir.	Evidence
2026-08-02	2026-08-26	$0.214	$0.1994	7.3%	✕	source
2026-08-01	2026-08-26	$0.216	$0.1994	8.3%	✕	source
2026-07-31	2026-08-26	$0.208	$0.1994	4.3%	✓	source