How accurate are Changelly's BERA predictions? | CompareForecast

Changelly’s BERA predictions

Every BERA prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.

500

Graded predictions

21.4%

Avg. error

271 / 500

Direction hits

Predicted vs. actual over time

Line = actual BERA price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date

Graded BERA predictions

Made on	Target	Predicted	Actual	Error	Dir.	Evidence
2026-08-03	2026-08-26	$0.126	$0.1766	28.7%	✕	source
2026-08-02	2026-08-26	$0.127	$0.1766	28.1%	✕	source
2026-08-01	2026-08-26	$0.124	$0.1766	29.8%	✕	source