Leaderboard / Changelly / CAKE
Changelly’s CAKE predictions
Every CAKE prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.
28
Graded predictions
2.3%
Avg. error
13 / 28
Direction hits
Predicted vs. actual over time
Line = actual CAKE price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date
Graded CAKE predictions
| Made on | Target | Predicted | Actual | Error | Dir. | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-01 | $1.38 | $1.46 | 5.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-01 | $1.38 | $1.46 | 5.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-01 | $1.38 | $1.46 | 5.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-01 | $1.44 | $1.46 | 1.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-01 | $1.44 | $1.46 | 1.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-01 | $1.47 | $1.46 | 0.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $1.48 | $1.46 | 1.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | $1.38 | $1.45 | 4.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-31 | $1.37 | $1.45 | 5.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-31 | $1.42 | $1.45 | 2.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-31 | $1.42 | $1.45 | 2.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-31 | $1.45 | $1.45 | 0.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-31 | $1.46 | $1.45 | 0.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | $1.37 | $1.38 | 0.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-30 | $1.41 | $1.38 | 2.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-30 | $1.41 | $1.38 | 2.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-30 | $1.43 | $1.38 | 3.6% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-30 | $1.44 | $1.38 | 4.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | $1.41 | $1.39 | 1.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-29 | $1.39 | $1.39 | 0.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-29 | $1.41 | $1.39 | 1.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-29 | $1.42 | $1.39 | 2.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $1.39 | $1.37 | 1.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-28 | $1.40 | $1.37 | 2.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-28 | $1.41 | $1.37 | 2.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-27 | $1.40 | $1.41 | 0.7% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-27 | $1.39 | $1.41 | 1.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-26 | $1.39 | $1.40 | 0.7% | ✕ | source |