Leaderboard / Changelly / ELF
Changelly’s ELF predictions
Every ELF prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.
28
Graded predictions
2.0%
Avg. error
21 / 28
Direction hits
Predicted vs. actual over time
Line = actual ELF price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date
Graded ELF predictions
| Made on | Target | Predicted | Actual | Error | Dir. | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-01 | $0.058 | $0.06011 | 3.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0583 | $0.06011 | 3.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0585 | $0.06011 | 2.7% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0613 | $0.06011 | 2.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0594 | $0.06011 | 1.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0601 | $0.06011 | 0.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0599 | $0.06011 | 0.3% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0584 | $0.05839 | 0.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0585 | $0.05839 | 0.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0613 | $0.05839 | 5.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0595 | $0.05839 | 1.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0599 | $0.05839 | 2.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0596 | $0.05839 | 2.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0586 | $0.05828 | 0.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0614 | $0.05828 | 5.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0596 | $0.05828 | 2.3% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0599 | $0.05828 | 2.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0594 | $0.05828 | 1.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | $0.0614 | $0.05876 | 4.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-29 | $0.0596 | $0.05876 | 1.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-29 | $0.06 | $0.05876 | 2.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-29 | $0.0594 | $0.05876 | 1.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $0.0597 | $0.05897 | 1.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-28 | $0.0601 | $0.05897 | 1.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-28 | $0.0595 | $0.05897 | 0.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-27 | $0.0601 | $0.06071 | 1.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-27 | $0.0595 | $0.06071 | 2.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-26 | $0.0596 | $0.06032 | 1.2% | ✓ | source |