Leaderboard / Changelly / ICP
Changelly’s ICP predictions
Every ICP prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.
28
Graded predictions
3.5%
Avg. error
6 / 28
Direction hits
Predicted vs. actual over time
Line = actual ICP price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date
Graded ICP predictions
| Made on | Target | Predicted | Actual | Error | Dir. | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-01 | $2.06 | $2.07 | 0.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-01 | $2.08 | $2.07 | 0.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-01 | $2.11 | $2.07 | 1.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-01 | $2.20 | $2.07 | 6.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-01 | $2.21 | $2.07 | 6.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-01 | $2.17 | $2.07 | 4.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $2.17 | $2.07 | 4.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | $2.07 | $2.07 | 0.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-31 | $2.10 | $2.07 | 1.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-31 | $2.19 | $2.07 | 5.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-31 | $2.20 | $2.07 | 6.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-31 | $2.17 | $2.07 | 4.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-31 | $2.17 | $2.07 | 4.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | $2.09 | $2.08 | 0.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-30 | $2.18 | $2.08 | 4.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-30 | $2.19 | $2.08 | 5.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-30 | $2.16 | $2.08 | 3.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-30 | $2.16 | $2.08 | 3.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | $2.17 | $2.09 | 3.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-29 | $2.17 | $2.09 | 3.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-29 | $2.15 | $2.09 | 2.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-29 | $2.15 | $2.09 | 2.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $2.16 | $2.09 | 3.3% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-28 | $2.14 | $2.09 | 2.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-28 | $2.14 | $2.09 | 2.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-27 | $2.12 | $2.18 | 2.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-27 | $2.12 | $2.18 | 2.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-26 | $2.11 | $2.17 | 2.8% | ✕ | source |