How accurate are Changelly's KSM predictions? | CompareForecast

Changelly’s KSM predictions

Every KSM prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.

500

Graded predictions

8.3%

Avg. error

193 / 500

Direction hits

Predicted vs. actual over time

Line = actual KSM price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date

Graded KSM predictions

Made on	Target	Predicted	Actual	Error	Dir.	Evidence
2026-08-03	2026-08-26	$3.01	$3.51	14.2%	✕	source
2026-08-02	2026-08-26	$2.96	$3.51	15.7%	✕	source
2026-08-01	2026-08-26	$2.91	$3.51	17.1%	✕	source