Leaderboard / Changelly / NOT
Changelly’s NOT predictions
Every NOT prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.
21
Graded predictions
15.6%
Avg. error
17 / 21
Direction hits
Predicted vs. actual over time
Line = actual NOT price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date
Graded NOT predictions
| Made on | Target | Predicted | Actual | Error | Dir. | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-01 | $0.000299 | $0.0003378 | 11.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-01 | $0.000271 | $0.0003378 | 19.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-01 | $0.000266 | $0.0003378 | 21.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-01 | $0.000274 | $0.0003378 | 18.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-01 | $0.000264 | $0.0003378 | 21.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-01 | $0.000253 | $0.0003378 | 25.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | $0.000296 | $0.0003322 | 10.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-31 | $0.000278 | $0.0003322 | 16.3% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-31 | $0.000281 | $0.0003322 | 15.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-31 | $0.000276 | $0.0003322 | 16.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-31 | $0.000255 | $0.0003322 | 23.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | $0.000303 | $0.0003365 | 10.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-30 | $0.000294 | $0.0003365 | 12.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-30 | $0.000284 | $0.0003365 | 15.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-30 | $0.000267 | $0.0003365 | 20.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | $0.00032 | $0.0003342 | 4.3% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-29 | $0.000297 | $0.0003342 | 11.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-29 | $0.000274 | $0.0003342 | 18.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $0.000323 | $0.0003393 | 4.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-28 | $0.000287 | $0.0003393 | 15.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-27 | $0.000312 | $0.0003606 | 13.5% | ✓ | source |