Leaderboard / Changelly / POLYX
Changelly’s POLYX predictions
Every POLYX prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.
28
Graded predictions
7.1%
Avg. error
11 / 28
Direction hits
Predicted vs. actual over time
Line = actual POLYX price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date
Graded POLYX predictions
| Made on | Target | Predicted | Actual | Error | Dir. | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0323 | $0.03289 | 1.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0328 | $0.03289 | 0.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0338 | $0.03289 | 2.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0355 | $0.03289 | 7.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0365 | $0.03289 | 11.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0365 | $0.03289 | 11.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $0.0378 | $0.03289 | 14.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0326 | $0.03265 | 0.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0336 | $0.03265 | 2.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0353 | $0.03265 | 8.1% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0363 | $0.03265 | 11.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-31 | $0.036 | $0.03265 | 10.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-31 | $0.0373 | $0.03265 | 14.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0334 | $0.03283 | 1.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0351 | $0.03283 | 6.9% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0361 | $0.03283 | 10.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0358 | $0.03283 | 9.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-30 | $0.0368 | $0.03283 | 12.1% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | $0.035 | $0.03261 | 7.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-29 | $0.036 | $0.03261 | 10.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-29 | $0.0356 | $0.03261 | 9.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-29 | $0.0366 | $0.03261 | 12.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $0.0358 | $0.0337 | 6.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-28 | $0.0355 | $0.0337 | 5.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-28 | $0.0365 | $0.0337 | 8.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-27 | $0.0353 | $0.03585 | 1.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-27 | $0.0363 | $0.03585 | 1.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-26 | $0.0361 | $0.0359 | 0.6% | ✓ | source |