Leaderboard / Changelly / RAD
Changelly’s RAD predictions
Every RAD prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.
15
Graded predictions
2.6%
Avg. error
9 / 15
Direction hits
Predicted vs. actual over time
Line = actual RAD price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date
Graded RAD predictions
| Made on | Target | Predicted | Actual | Error | Dir. | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-01 | $0.202 | $0.2049 | 1.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-01 | $0.204 | $0.2049 | 0.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-01 | $0.211 | $0.2049 | 3.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-01 | $0.212 | $0.2049 | 3.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-01 | $0.213 | $0.2049 | 4.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | $0.204 | $0.2048 | 0.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-31 | $0.211 | $0.2048 | 3.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-31 | $0.212 | $0.2048 | 3.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-31 | $0.21 | $0.2048 | 2.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-30 | $0.211 | $0.2028 | 4.1% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-30 | $0.212 | $0.2028 | 4.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-30 | $0.21 | $0.2028 | 3.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $0.212 | $0.2068 | 2.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-28 | $0.21 | $0.2068 | 1.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-27 | $0.21 | $0.2129 | 1.4% | ✕ | source |