How accurate are Changelly's RPL predictions? | CompareForecast

Changelly’s RPL predictions

Every RPL prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.

500

Graded predictions

8.5%

Avg. error

306 / 500

Direction hits

Predicted vs. actual over time

Line = actual RPL price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date

Graded RPL predictions

Made on	Target	Predicted	Actual	Error	Dir.	Evidence
2026-08-02	2026-08-26	$1.30	$1.66	21.7%	✕	source
2026-08-01	2026-08-26	$1.30	$1.66	21.7%	✕	source
2026-07-31	2026-08-26	$1.33	$1.66	19.9%	✕	source