How accurate are Changelly's SFP predictions? | CompareForecast

Changelly’s SFP predictions

Every SFP prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.

500

Graded predictions

10.6%

Avg. error

141 / 500

Direction hits

Predicted vs. actual over time

Line = actual SFP price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date

Graded SFP predictions

Made on	Target	Predicted	Actual	Error	Dir.	Evidence
2026-08-03	2026-08-26	$0.207	$0.2645	21.7%	✕	source
2026-08-02	2026-08-26	$0.213	$0.2645	19.5%	✕	source
2026-08-01	2026-08-26	$0.216	$0.2645	18.3%	✕	source