Leaderboard / Changelly / SFP
Changelly’s SFP predictions
Every SFP prediction from Changelly that reached its target date, graded against the actual market price. Evidence was archived before the outcome was known.
28
Graded predictions
3.4%
Avg. error
15 / 28
Direction hits
Predicted vs. actual over time
Line = actual SFP price at each target date · circle = what Changelly predicted for that date
Graded SFP predictions
| Made on | Target | Predicted | Actual | Error | Dir. | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-01 | $0.215 | $0.2227 | 3.5% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-01 | $0.205 | $0.2227 | 8.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-01 | $0.205 | $0.2227 | 8.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-01 | $0.213 | $0.2227 | 4.4% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-01 | $0.216 | $0.2227 | 3.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-01 | $0.213 | $0.2227 | 4.4% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $0.216 | $0.2227 | 3.0% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-31 | $0.205 | $0.2154 | 4.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-31 | $0.205 | $0.2154 | 4.8% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-31 | $0.213 | $0.2154 | 1.1% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-31 | $0.216 | $0.2154 | 0.3% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-31 | $0.212 | $0.2154 | 1.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-31 | $0.216 | $0.2154 | 0.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-30 | $0.205 | $0.2136 | 4.0% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-30 | $0.214 | $0.2136 | 0.2% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-30 | $0.217 | $0.2136 | 1.6% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-30 | $0.212 | $0.2136 | 0.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-30 | $0.216 | $0.2136 | 1.1% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-29 | $0.214 | $0.2052 | 4.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-29 | $0.217 | $0.2052 | 5.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-29 | $0.213 | $0.2052 | 3.8% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-29 | $0.216 | $0.2052 | 5.3% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $0.217 | $0.2053 | 5.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-28 | $0.213 | $0.2053 | 3.7% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-28 | $0.216 | $0.2053 | 5.2% | ✕ | source |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-07-27 | $0.213 | $0.2194 | 2.9% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-27 | $0.216 | $0.2194 | 1.5% | ✓ | source |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-07-26 | $0.217 | $0.2195 | 1.2% | ✓ | source |