Predictions / ARKM
2 tracked forecast sites currently publish ARKM targets. The consensus row weights each site by its historical accuracy — a site that has been closer to reality counts for more.
Latest price: $0.1007 as of 2026-09-15
| Site | ~1 month | ~3 months | End of 2026 | ~1 year | Graded (ARKM) | Avg. error | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changelly snapshot 2026-09-15 | $0.277+175.2% | $0.292+190.1% | $0.3+198.0% | $0.382+279.5% | 43 | 151.9% | 19.0% |
| CryptoPredictions snapshot 2026-09-15 | $0.1156+14.9% | $0.1174+16.6% | $0.1252+24.4% | $0.1813+80.1% | 43 | 31.7% | 81.0% |
| Accuracy-weighted consensus | $0.1462+45.2% | $0.1505+49.5% | $0.1583+57.3% | $0.2193+117.9% | |||
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Each site’s weight is 1 / (historical average error + 0.05), using its graded ARKMrecord when it has at least 3 graded predictions, its overall record otherwise (marked with *), and a neutral prior of 30% error for sites with no graded history yet. Targets shown are each site’s latest snapshot, matched to the nearest published horizon. Details on the methodology page.
Predictions are third-party claims archived for accountability. Nothing here is investment advice.