Predictions / UMA
2 tracked forecast sites currently publish UMA targets. The consensus row weights each site by its historical accuracy — a site that has been closer to reality counts for more.
Latest price: $0.3642 as of 2026-09-15
| Site | ~1 month | ~3 months | End of 2026 | ~1 year | Graded (UMA) | Avg. error | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changelly snapshot 2026-09-15 | $0.377+3.5% | $0.365+0.2% | $0.362-0.6% | $0.513+40.9% | 1036 | 7.5% | 49.6% |
| CoinCodex snapshot 2026-09-15 | $0.3706+1.8% | $0.334-8.3% | $0.334-8.3% | $0.2095-42.5% | 1076 | 7.3% | 50.4% |
| Accuracy-weighted consensus | $0.3738+2.6% | $0.3494-4.1% | $0.3479-4.5% | $0.36-1.1% | |||
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Predictions are claims — the chart is the record. Live charts, indicators and price alerts on TradingView.
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Each site’s weight is 1 / (historical average error + 0.05), using its graded UMArecord when it has at least 3 graded predictions, its overall record otherwise (marked with *), and a neutral prior of 30% error for sites with no graded history yet. Targets shown are each site’s latest snapshot, matched to the nearest published horizon. Details on the methodology page.
Predictions are third-party claims archived for accountability. Nothing here is investment advice.