Predictions / UMA
UMA price prediction
2 tracked forecast sites currently publish UMA targets. The consensus row weights each site by its historical accuracy — a site that has been closer to reality counts for more.
Latest price: $0.3492 as of 2026-08-01
| Site | ~1 month | ~3 months | End of 2026 | ~1 year | Graded (UMA) | Avg. error | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changelly snapshot 2026-08-01 | $0.337-3.5% | $0.393+12.5% | $0.37+5.9% | $0.286-18.1% | 21 | 3.5% | 52.1% |
| CoinCodex snapshot 2026-08-01 | $0.3275-6.2% | — | $0.2939-15.9% | — | 21 | 4.3% | 47.9% |
| Accuracy-weighted consensus | $0.3324-4.8% | $0.393+12.5% | $0.3335-4.5% | $0.286-18.1% | |||
Chart UMA yourself
Predictions are claims — the chart is the record. Live charts, indicators and price alerts on TradingView.
Affiliate link — supports the archive
How the consensus is weighted
Each site’s weight is 1 / (historical average error + 0.05), using its graded UMArecord when it has at least 3 graded predictions, its overall record otherwise (marked with *), and a neutral prior of 30% error for sites with no graded history yet. Targets shown are each site’s latest snapshot, matched to the nearest published horizon. Details on the methodology page.
Predictions are third-party claims archived for accountability. Nothing here is investment advice.